Penrith v South Sydney: NRL Preliminary Final betting preview – CODE Bet

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NRL PRELIMINARY FINAL.

Penrith Panthers v South Sydney Rabbitohs.

Saturday, September 24, 7:50 p.m.

Accor Stadium, Homebush.

It all comes down to this: win and you’re in the NRL Grand Final.

Lose and you have beers to sympathize with for getting so close…but the glory is still so far away.

This game is worthy of being the grand final (after all, it was last year’s grand final) and given the form both teams are in, NRL fans wouldn’t have regretted that it happens again.

HOW THEY GOT THERE

Penrith is looking to defend his premiership from 2021 and sent his rivals an ominous warning in the opening week of the finals by teaching Parramatta a 27-8 lesson and taking a week off.

South Sydney, meanwhile, were brilliant in their two final wins. They defeated the Roosters in week one before humiliating the Sharks 38-12 last weekend.

These two teams met in Round 23, with an under-strength Panthers team winning 26-22 at Accor Stadium.

MATCH ODDS

Penrit: $1.38

Sydney South: $3.20

Cameron Murray of the Rabbitohs. Photo: Brendon Thorne/Getty Images

THE BACK-TO-BACK PURCHASE STONE

Penrith had the minor premiership almost sewn up several weeks before winning it.

They were able to prepare perfectly for the final series by managing the players and making sure they were in the best condition before the final.

Nathan Cleary’s suspension, while annoying at the time, allowed Cleary to overcome any issues he might have had in the Finals and allowed him to be at the peak of his powers.

He showed that he was in the first week of the final, so much so that some betting companies have already paid him to win the Clive Churchill medal.

THE PERFECT REVENGE

The Souths will be ready to avenge their 14-12 loss to Penrith in the 2021 Grand Final: if they no longer needed the motivation to make a preliminary final, they have found it.

It would cap a lot for them, knocking out the Panthers and making yet another grand finale.

Latrell Mitchell entered this Finals series with a point to prove and has been brilliant in both Finals for the Bunnies so far. He is emerging as the key player for Souths on Saturday night.

The Bunnies as a whole have been in great shape this Finals series and look set to launch an attack on the Panthers.

If they are ahead at halftime, the game is over.

Because the Souths in 2022, when leading at halftime, DID NOT lose.

WHAT WE ARE LOOKING AT:

– Penrith have won eight of the last nine meetings between the two teams.

– Penrith beat Souths 14-12 in the 2021 Grand Final.

– Souths’ last win against Penrith was in a final.

– The Souths have covered the line in their last ten finals.

– Each of Penrith’s last five final games has gone UNDER the match points line.

NRL Qualifying Final - Panthers v Eels

Brian To’o of the Panthers scores a try. Photo: Mark Kolbe/Getty Images

FIRST TRIED MARKER

In the last four clashes between the two, Penrith has scored the opening try on each occasion and with Alex Johnston for Souths under a cloud of injuries, we’ll be looking to a Panther.

Brian To’o has scored a try in four of Penrith’s last five games at the Accor Stadium.

— Brian To’o – first down scorer: $9 (via bet365)

THE CHOICE

Penrith: $1.38 (via bet365)

The “BUNNIES ARE GAMEY BUT PANTHERS LOVE TO EAT” Same Game Multi:

One-on-one Penrith – $1.38: Previous matches between these two have been close, but as week one shows, they can produce a blowout.

South Sydney +17.5 Alternate Handicap – $1.36: Allow the blowout here. Only once of the eight losses have Souths been beaten by more than 14 points.

Brian To’o – Anytime Try Marker – $2.15: As previously reported, To’o has had at least one try in four of his last five games at Accor.

– 3 legs @ $4.25 (via Bet365)

(Quotes at 1 p.m. on September 21)

Penrith vs South Sydney Match Center – 2022 NRL Preliminary Finals


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